Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 4.836438 5.754815 6.775145 7.989230 9.390731 10.953904 12.825358
2025-06-22 3.312442 4.433349 5.807382 7.601361 9.865858 12.612009 16.174884
2025-06-29 2.502443 3.702843 5.301201 7.553522 10.608199 14.564526 20.025801
2025-07-06 1.957165 3.165903 4.896370 7.500151 11.251947 16.383534 23.834870
2025-07-13 1.698109 2.963998 4.890640 7.951838 12.586497 19.210333 29.223706
2025-07-20 1.452272 2.722894 4.770046 8.189312 13.603131 21.650406 34.256759
2025-07-27 1.286923 2.574927 4.759168 8.572864 14.853069 24.511749 40.113076
2025-08-03 1.087725 2.324903 4.533925 8.564703 15.463524 26.431221 44.678320
2025-08-10 0.883961 2.022441 4.165042 8.252274 15.522030 27.463884 47.915032
2025-08-17 0.723790 1.770177 3.842577 7.967887 15.577804 28.468464 51.147793
2025-08-24 0.623394 1.620211 3.687548 7.962264 16.105993 30.277328 55.801662
2025-08-31 0.543983 1.499097 3.569043 8.005697 16.716729 32.259094 60.865621
2025-09-07 0.467137 1.369528 3.417418 7.973289 17.199787 34.086845 65.857760
2025-09-14 0.376995 1.185410 3.117145 7.595464 16.978239 34.634180 68.648826
2025-09-21 0.323843 1.083785 2.984147 7.550929 17.403833 36.390242 73.714343
2025-09-28 0.278397 0.991470 2.856517 7.498717 17.803180 38.119133 78.836593
2025-10-05 0.264723 0.988480 2.946726 7.950751 19.295410 42.043070 88.286531
2025-10-12 0.241931 0.951924 2.945683 8.188348 20.348503 45.178203 96.428189
2025-10-19 0.227507 0.938576 3.003091 8.571916 21.752138 49.098354 106.300609
2025-10-26 0.199554 0.872346 2.906375 8.563776 22.280797 51.286769 112.926807
2025-11-02 0.165436 0.773725 2.700655 8.251383 22.083464 51.966313 116.605586
2025-11-09 0.137535 0.688417 2.516413 7.967026 21.917730 52.689985 120.402075
2025-11-16 0.120988 0.641986 2.440471 7.961403 22.411888 54.842749 127.223432